Friday, June 19, 2009

Gov't Control = Gov't Accountability for Success & Failure

So Obama has presented the New Financial Regulatory points. The goal is to stop another AIG and halt systemic risk or economic bubble.

It is not going to work.

This is why:

The underlying problem with regulations and laws is that they are REACTIVE. They are written to stop past events from happening again. Laws are not created to stop new types of action/events in the future. How can lawmakers know the future enough to write laws to protect against them? Simple; they cannot.

The other problem is that Gov’t wants to take credit for the good and not the bad that result in Gov’t actions. They want to be responsible for a growing economy or for bringing to justice a social evil (Enron). That is what keeps them in office.

If the Gov’t wants to create regulations and laws that are geared toward another financial meltdown, they need to be prepared to take responsibility for failures and the unintended consequences of those failures. That means the Gov’t is SOLEY responsible for any future events such as the S&L Crisis, LTCM, FreddieMac / FrannieMae scandals, Dot Com Bubble, Housing Bubble and the current debt debacle.

The Gov’t won’t take responsibility for its actions, through the Fed and congress, TODAY!

Why in the world would new regulations matter if 1)the current ones are not being followed and 2)accountable parties are not brought to trial?

Senators and House reps can barely be honest with themselves let alone the public that voted them in office.

The trade off being offered by new financial regulations is “less” risk of failure for decreased freedom to SUCCEED and FAIL in the private sector.

They can keep their regs and just start handing out prison terms. Fraud = Fraud, not matter the size of campaign contributions or how long you have been on the House Finance Committee.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Edge.org; A new fav for The Feral Capitalist

Some sites require a thinking cap.

This site requires a DOT Certified 200+Mph rated racing helmet.

www.Edge.org

If you want to increase your metal capital by orders of magnitude while at the same time exposing your precious neurons to University Professor style discussions, visit Edge.org

I am unable to say anything more as a continued sophomoric description would not begin to sufficiently describe the intellectual gems that can be found.

Only con is the site layout. A person really has to use the search option to find specific speeches, lectures, and videos.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

10 Interesting Principles from the Author of "The Black Swan"

I thought these points were very interesting:

10 Principles that Minimize Future Black Swans

I especially appreciate how Nassim Taleb points toward the simplification of financial assets and economies.

Take a look at it and get back to the Feral Capitalist!

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Bulldozing of Assets!!

Click the link to see the article from the Telegraph.



This is INSANE! The asset that is the other side of the loan is GONE!



Book value = ZERO!! (per rules of the Universe)


How in the HELL are banks NOT going to post this as a loss. This is worse than a foreclosure; this is complete DESTRUCTION of the underlying asset of the loan the bank issued!


wow...that's all I got...wow


-- Lache, The Feral Capitalist

Friday, June 5, 2009

What's with the "Czar" titles?

I remember the first time an Old Russian title of commander was given to an American public official was when I understood “The War on Drugs” and the resulting “Drug Czar.”

Even at the age of 12 – 13 years old, I knew the contradiction that the name “Czar” on an AMERICAN official implied. It would be like an elected KING!

Why “Czar”? Why not “Highly Exalted and Lawfully Untouchable Public Servant?” Isn’t that the same thing? Does it not rightfully convey the same message?

And now, with all the new recessionary programs enacted we have the following: Health Czar, Bank Czar, and the latest from the WSJ is a Pay Czar!

At want point do we stop being CITIZENS and start being COMRADES?!

The Feral Capitalist is feral for a reason. The overwhelming message to the public is one of negating personal responsibility in exchange for a welfare state that will make all the decisions for you. Unbelievably, more and more of my fellow citizens are willing to stop thinking and hand their right to fail/succeed to Uncle Sam.

But but what is wrong with that?

Follow the logic is all you have to do. If a person wants to ignore the risk of failure in life, then they must also ignore the benefits of success. You can’t have it BOTH ways!

You can’t have your cake and eat it too!

-- Lache, The Feral Capitalist

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Taste of the Technicals...




Just a little taste of the weekly technicals to show that the S&P 500 is rapidly approaching a very overbought indicator.


Tighten up those short positions, that is where the money is gonna be made in the next 30 days.


-- Lache, The Feral Capitalist

May & June's Fake Out Rally

The Feral Capitalist is going on record to say this is a Fake Out Rally. Fundamental and technical indicators are divergent.

Sure, the technicals point to the 200 day moving avg being broken (on the daily view), but there are no fundamental changes to support such an increase in equity valuations. Unemployment is still rising, mortgage delinquencies are rising (although they are being held off the balance sheet so as not to report the loss), and the commercial real estate meltdown is yet to roll through the system.

Investors are tired of sitting on their reserves and it is burning a whole in their money market accounts, so they buy equities. With GM and Citi’s removal from the DOW and Cisco & Traveler’s addition to the index, that is a reason to hope.

Hope is the slope the dumb money rides all the way to the bottom.

If you want the real picture, look at the technicals from a weekly and monthly point of view. There are many resistance levels to bust through before the fundamentals begin to approach technicals again.

Look for P/E ratios around 10 or even single digits before it’s all over.

Look for the Feral Capitalist to buy your sold shares at the end of the 3Q or the beginning of the 4Q.

-- Lache, The Feral Capitalist